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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.51+2.54vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.34+1.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+1.27vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.36+1.80vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.81-2.16vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.96+0.74vs Predicted
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8Williams College1.47-1.32vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-5.14vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.55-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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4.54University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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4.88Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College1.360.0%1st Place
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3.84Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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7.74Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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6.68Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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3.86Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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8.33Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Takata | 25.4% | 23.3% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Andrew | 12.5% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Billy Hines | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Michael Reney | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Sam Wyer | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 13.4% |
| Christopher Poole | 16.3% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 26.7% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 10.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 15.7% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.