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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+7.40vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.80+8.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+0.84vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-0.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-1.06vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-1.50vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.39-2.59vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-1.87vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43-1.95vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-5.48vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-5.90vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.71-4.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4University of Rhode Island1.425.3%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont0.803.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.9%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University2.4515.8%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.144.6%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.2212.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.3%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.4%1st Place
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7.94Yale University1.596.8%1st Place
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8.5Northwestern University1.496.5%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.396.5%1st Place
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10.13Princeton University0.843.8%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College0.433.2%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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9.1Salve Regina University0.465.5%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College0.712.9%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Robby Meek | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Mason Stang | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Shea Smith | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Everett Nash | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Asher Green | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.