Race 9A

usf-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Hall 18.3% 17.4% 14.8% 14.4% 9.8% 10.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.2% 1.1%
Lauren Cefali 6.0% 4.8% 4.8% 7.5% 9.4% 9.1% 11.6% 15.5% 15.4% 15.9%
Sarah Mace 11.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.9% 13.8% 11.7% 11.9% 9.7% 6.0% 3.2%
Lily Grimshaw 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 7.2% 10.5% 13.2% 19.3% 27.6%
Corey Hall 10.9% 11.8% 10.1% 10.8% 13.2% 12.7% 10.7% 11.1% 5.6% 3.1%
Morgan Kiss 24.6% 21.3% 18.1% 12.5% 10.3% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Abby Featherstone 9.7% 11.7% 12.7% 13.0% 13.3% 12.5% 10.6% 7.8% 6.3% 2.4%
Solvig Sayre 5.5% 6.4% 10.2% 9.6% 8.1% 9.8% 14.2% 14.2% 12.8% 9.2%
Madeline Kennedy 8.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.7% 10.2% 12.3% 12.3% 11.6% 10.1% 4.5%
Laura Hernandez 2.7% 3.1% 4.5% 3.4% 6.4% 8.5% 7.1% 9.9% 21.6% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.