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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.93vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+6.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39+5.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.80+5.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.43+4.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.65vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+0.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.86vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-4.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.71-2.76vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-4.73vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.59-8.03vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University2.4515.2%1st Place
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8.68Northwestern University1.496.1%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.395.9%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.2212.3%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont0.802.6%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island1.426.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College0.433.4%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.0%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University0.465.2%1st Place
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9.04Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.8%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College1.516.0%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College0.713.5%1st Place
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10.27Princeton University0.843.9%1st Place
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7.97Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Everett Nash | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Mason Stang | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Henry Lee | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
| Asher Green | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.