Race 10A

usf-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sarah Mace 11.5% 12.3% 12.1% 11.4% 11.4% 11.6% 11.3% 8.8% 6.8% 2.8%
Lily Grimshaw 3.2% 5.1% 3.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.4% 9.4% 12.7% 20.4% 27.8%
Morgan Kiss 24.3% 19.7% 17.6% 14.4% 9.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Abby Featherstone 10.4% 10.9% 14.0% 11.8% 11.7% 12.6% 11.4% 9.0% 5.2% 3.0%
Corey Hall 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 11.2% 13.4% 13.5% 11.1% 8.7% 7.0% 3.0%
Madeline Kennedy 10.1% 8.6% 8.9% 11.1% 13.2% 12.3% 10.5% 11.8% 8.3% 5.2%
Lauren Cefali 3.5% 5.1% 6.2% 8.0% 8.4% 10.0% 12.8% 15.0% 16.0% 15.0%
Mary Hall 17.4% 17.7% 14.7% 14.4% 11.6% 9.4% 6.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Laura Hernandez 3.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 5.5% 7.1% 9.9% 11.4% 20.0% 32.8%
Solvig Sayre 5.5% 6.8% 8.7% 9.0% 9.1% 10.4% 12.5% 15.2% 13.3% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.