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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+7.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+6.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.97vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.19vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+4.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.80+4.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.45-2.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.40vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.43+2.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.39-1.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.93vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.71-0.87vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-4.74vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.18vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.84-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Northwestern University1.495.6%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.426.5%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.2211.7%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University0.465.2%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont0.803.5%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.4515.8%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.5%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College0.432.9%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University1.395.5%1st Place
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8.07Yale University1.596.8%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.713.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College1.516.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.9%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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10.24Princeton University0.844.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Henry Lee | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Mason Stang | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% |
| Robby Meek | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.0% |
| Everett Nash | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Asher Green | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.