Race 11A

usf-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sarah Mace 11.7% 10.9% 12.7% 12.2% 11.2% 11.5% 11.3% 9.7% 6.1% 2.7%
Mary Hall 17.2% 16.5% 15.7% 15.2% 11.3% 9.1% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Corey Hall 9.6% 11.3% 10.1% 10.2% 13.4% 14.1% 11.7% 9.5% 6.9% 3.2%
Abby Featherstone 10.6% 10.6% 12.2% 11.7% 14.2% 13.4% 10.3% 8.1% 6.2% 2.7%
Morgan Kiss 25.0% 22.4% 17.0% 13.6% 8.2% 5.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Madeline Kennedy 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 10.4% 12.1% 11.2% 12.4% 10.9% 8.8% 5.8%
Laura Hernandez 2.3% 2.4% 4.8% 3.9% 5.5% 7.2% 8.8% 12.7% 19.8% 32.6%
Lauren Cefali 4.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.0% 7.4% 9.0% 13.2% 16.0% 16.3% 13.3%
Solvig Sayre 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 9.9% 9.8% 11.6% 11.0% 14.9% 13.0% 9.5%
Lily Grimshaw 3.0% 4.4% 4.1% 4.9% 6.9% 7.7% 10.0% 10.7% 18.8% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.