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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+8.26vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+6.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.69vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.45-2.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.71+3.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.39-0.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-1.77vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.49-2.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.43-0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-4.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-4.76vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.59-7.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.80-5.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.2%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.2212.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.4%1st Place
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10.48Princeton University0.843.6%1st Place
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9.05Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.5%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University2.4516.2%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College0.713.4%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.396.2%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College1.516.5%1st Place
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8.57Northwestern University1.495.6%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College0.433.2%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island1.425.9%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.596.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont0.803.7%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Mason Stang | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% |
| Asher Green | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% |
| Robby Meek | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Everett Nash | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% |
| Henry Lee | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Jack Derry | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.