Race 12A

usf-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sarah Mace 11.1% 11.9% 12.1% 13.3% 11.7% 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 6.3% 3.2%
Morgan Kiss 24.7% 20.8% 17.8% 12.2% 10.6% 5.4% 5.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Madeline Kennedy 8.6% 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 10.4% 15.8% 12.9% 10.6% 9.2% 5.3%
Abby Featherstone 10.2% 11.6% 11.8% 13.0% 13.8% 11.5% 10.0% 9.5% 6.1% 2.5%
Corey Hall 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 12.5% 13.5% 10.5% 8.4% 7.7% 2.3%
Solvig Sayre 7.2% 6.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.9% 10.3% 12.8% 13.8% 12.3% 11.0%
Lily Grimshaw 2.7% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 6.6% 7.5% 10.4% 14.4% 18.6% 27.6%
Lauren Cefali 4.5% 4.8% 7.7% 8.2% 7.2% 9.6% 12.6% 14.0% 18.2% 13.2%
Mary Hall 17.7% 17.4% 14.6% 14.4% 12.6% 8.3% 7.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Laura Hernandez 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 7.4% 8.3% 12.7% 18.5% 33.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.