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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+3.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+1.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.97+3.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-0.65vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-3.22vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10-1.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.16Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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7.76University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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4.97College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.16Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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4.78University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 26.2% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 34.0% |
| Corey Hall | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 27.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.