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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+3.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+1.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+2.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10-1.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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3.12Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Mary Hall | 17.8% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Corey Hall | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Laura Hernandez | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 33.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 26.2% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 27.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.