Race 15A

usf-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Morgan Kiss 25.5% 20.1% 16.0% 11.2% 11.5% 6.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5%
Sarah Mace 10.3% 10.5% 11.7% 12.0% 12.2% 10.1% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 4.2%
Corey Hall 10.4% 8.4% 11.0% 10.3% 10.1% 13.7% 12.8% 9.2% 9.3% 4.8%
Lauren Cefali 3.8% 4.6% 6.9% 8.0% 7.0% 9.6% 10.4% 13.4% 16.9% 19.4%
Abby Featherstone 11.6% 10.9% 10.9% 11.4% 12.6% 11.5% 10.6% 9.1% 7.1% 4.3%
Mary Hall 17.0% 15.8% 15.8% 13.3% 12.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.4% 2.1% 1.3%
Taylor Scheuermann 5.5% 7.8% 7.6% 9.4% 10.2% 11.4% 10.1% 13.9% 13.4% 10.7%
Madeline Kennedy 8.0% 9.6% 9.4% 10.8% 10.1% 12.5% 11.1% 12.1% 9.8% 6.6%
Lily Grimshaw 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 9.3% 12.5% 14.9% 35.7%
Solvig Sayre 4.9% 8.3% 6.9% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 11.7% 12.0% 16.5% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.