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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+5.23vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39+5.59vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+3.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80+3.69vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.71+3.22vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49-0.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-2.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-7.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.48vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-5.66vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.43-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Harvard University2.4515.0%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College1.848.4%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University1.394.8%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island1.425.8%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.9%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont0.803.6%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College0.712.5%1st Place
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8.61Northwestern University1.496.8%1st Place
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7.93Yale University1.597.4%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.3%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.2211.8%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.3%1st Place
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10.34Princeton University0.843.9%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College0.433.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Everett Nash | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry Lee | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Jack Derry | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.6% |
| Shea Smith | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% |
| Mason Stang | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.