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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+4.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+3.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+2.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.10+2.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.83-0.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-3.98vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.09Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.26Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.12University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Corey Hall | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 22.1% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 34.9% |
| Mary Hall | 17.8% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.