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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+9.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+4.03vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.39+3.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-1.07vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49+1.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-0.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.33vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.71+0.43vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46-2.62vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.80-3.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-6.65vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.84-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.9%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.8%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.2211.5%1st Place
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8.03Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.394.9%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.4515.2%1st Place
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8.82Northwestern University1.495.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College1.848.2%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.7%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island1.426.1%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College0.712.7%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University0.464.6%1st Place
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9.3Boston University1.145.8%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont0.803.2%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.9%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College1.204.3%1st Place
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10.71Princeton University0.843.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Mason Stang | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Everett Nash | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Robby Meek | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Henry Lee | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 17.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.