Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Robby Meek 14.9% 14.6% 13.1% 10.9% 9.3% 8.4% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% 3.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Henry Lee 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 4.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 5.1% 5.0% 4.2% 3.5%
Asher Green 3.7% 4.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 4.4% 5.0% 4.6% 5.8% 4.5% 6.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 9.6% 10.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 4.3% 3.6% 3.9% 3.6% 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 8.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.8% 11.3%
Mason Stang 10.2% 12.5% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.9% 7.4% 6.1% 6.5% 5.8% 3.8% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Lauren Russler 8.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.2% 7.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 4.3% 4.3% 3.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Everett Nash 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 4.5% 3.2%
Mathias Reimer 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.2% 5.3% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 1.9%
Shea Smith 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 4.4% 6.2% 6.0% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.4% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 5.3% 3.1%
Tiare Sierra 4.7% 4.7% 5.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.2% 4.8% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 6.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 4.8%
Emil Tullberg 3.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.8% 5.4% 7.2% 6.6% 6.1% 5.3%
Peter McGonagle 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 8.7% 10.7% 16.3%
Jack Derry 4.7% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 6.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.3% 7.5%
Skylor Sweet 4.9% 4.2% 5.4% 5.9% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 5.5% 4.9%
Wade Anthony 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 11.1% 13.8%
Robert Ulmer 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 8.8% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 6.2% 6.7% 6.3% 5.2% 5.2% 4.5% 3.0% 3.4% 1.8%
Tyler Egeli 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.