Race 8A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Andrew 12.5% 13.4% 14.0% 11.6% 12.7% 13.5% 10.7% 7.4% 3.1% 1.1%
Alex Takata 25.0% 20.9% 17.1% 13.8% 11.7% 5.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Reney 8.8% 9.2% 8.0% 10.9% 10.9% 14.5% 17.7% 10.7% 7.3% 2.0%
Sam Wyer 3.1% 4.1% 3.9% 7.4% 9.1% 10.4% 11.0% 18.1% 19.8% 13.1%
Christopher Poole 16.4% 16.6% 15.6% 16.5% 12.2% 9.6% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Conor Lodge 18.4% 15.6% 16.5% 13.6% 12.5% 11.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 3.4% 3.5% 5.5% 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 14.0% 17.1% 19.9% 10.2%
Stephanie Dowling 2.5% 2.0% 4.6% 3.7% 5.1% 8.0% 10.0% 15.4% 22.5% 26.2%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 8.7% 11.7% 19.0% 44.1%
Billy Hines 8.2% 12.7% 12.4% 12.5% 12.8% 13.5% 10.9% 9.6% 5.3% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.