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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+6.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39+4.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.06vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49+1.97vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.20+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.80+0.73vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.89vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-1.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-6.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-4.73vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.71-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Harvard University2.4514.9%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.425.3%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.2210.5%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University1.396.6%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College1.847.2%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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8.97Northwestern University1.494.8%1st Place
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7.97Yale University1.596.2%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College1.204.8%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont0.804.0%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University0.465.1%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University0.844.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.3%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.7%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.5%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College0.712.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Mason Stang | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Everett Nash | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Shea Smith | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Asher Green | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 15.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.