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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+2.98vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.49+5.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+7.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39+2.80vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.71+2.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-2.47vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.84-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.80-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.00vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-4.76vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.59-6.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.08vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.4%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University2.4514.1%1st Place
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8.75Northwestern University1.495.1%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.8%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.2211.7%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University1.395.9%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.425.8%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College0.712.8%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College1.847.8%1st Place
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10.27Princeton University0.843.8%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont0.803.3%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University0.465.2%1st Place
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8.03Yale University1.596.4%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.8%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College1.205.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Robby Meek | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.9% |
| Mason Stang | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Everett Nash | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Henry Lee | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.