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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.08vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+6.77vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.64vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39+4.63vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.62vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.71+5.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-1.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.35vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84+0.52vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.73vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-3.38vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.20-3.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.72vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.22vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.80-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Harvard University2.4514.8%1st Place
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8.77Northwestern University1.495.7%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.588.4%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.395.7%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College1.847.6%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.713.5%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.2211.7%1st Place
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8.14Yale University1.596.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University0.843.8%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University0.465.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.425.0%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.204.3%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.7%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.8%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont0.802.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Everett Nash | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Wade Anthony | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Mason Stang | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Asher Green | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.