← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.00vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine2.17+4.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.57+2.57vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.80-1.19vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.770.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.64-0.49vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.14vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.82+2.09vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University1.51-0.50vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-1.68vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego2.19-4.28vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.33vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University0.44-1.76vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.83-0.96vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego1.60-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
2.81Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
-
5.0California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
-
10.09University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.5Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
8.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
-
11.24Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of California at Santa Barbara-0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.16University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 30.7% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 12.1% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 28.9% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Preston | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.