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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.96vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.50+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.82+1.23vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19-4.32vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.75vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.44-1.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.83-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.60-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.96California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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2.75Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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8.65Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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8.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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11.19Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Santa Barbara-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 33.0% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 27.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Preston | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 67.9% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.