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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+7.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+7.39vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.71+8.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+6.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.49+2.87vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+0.49vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20-1.54vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-1.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.69vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.59-7.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.80-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Northeastern University1.394.9%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College0.713.7%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.6%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.2211.6%1st Place
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8.87Northwestern University1.495.9%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College1.847.7%1st Place
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4.95Harvard University2.4516.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.6%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island1.425.6%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College1.204.0%1st Place
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10.61Princeton University0.843.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.6%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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8.04Yale University1.596.4%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.803.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
Wade Anthony | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% |
Tyler Egeli | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
Mason Stang | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
Shea Smith | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
Robby Meek | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Peter McGonagle | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.7% |
Henry Lee | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
Skylor Sweet | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
Asher Green | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% |
Robert Ulmer | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Jack Derry | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.