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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.76vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.79vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.62vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.82+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-3.77vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19-4.69vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-1.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.50-4.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.83-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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4.79California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.79California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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7.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.05Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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10.3Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Santa Barbara-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 32.2% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 23.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 30.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Preston | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 14.1% | 71.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.