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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+8.47vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+2.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+1.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57-0.56vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.55-0.05vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.62-1.22vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.77-2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.69-5.71vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at San Diego0.550.0%1st Place
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8.78Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.69Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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9.47California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 23.0% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 28.9% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Steen | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.