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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04+0.23vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.45vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.69+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57-0.52vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.45vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-4.19vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.77-2.56vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.62-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.55-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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2.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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9.45California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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9.45California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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8.44Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.99Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at San Diego0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 28.6% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 22.4% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 14.1% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Steen | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.