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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+5.31vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+1.21vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.55+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.69-2.85vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.62-1.21vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.59vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-4.85vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.77-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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3.21Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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5.95Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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6.47University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at San Diego0.550.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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8.79Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.59Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 22.2% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 27.9% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Steen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.