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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+2.27vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.43vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+1.26vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+1.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.81-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.57-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.69-3.85vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.77-2.35vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.62-3.05vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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9.43California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego0.550.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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8.65Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.95Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.43California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 20.6% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 27.7% | 24.8% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Steen | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.