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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+0.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.32vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.49vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.77-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.57-3.22vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.69-4.31vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.62-3.23vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.09-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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2.96Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.5Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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2.68University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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8.49California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.41Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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7.77Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 25.6% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 13.4% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 29.4% | 26.6% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Wagner | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 70.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.