Race 9A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Poole 18.5% 16.5% 14.7% 12.5% 10.9% 12.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Alex Takata 25.9% 20.4% 15.6% 14.9% 10.7% 6.2% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Reney 7.7% 10.0% 9.7% 8.7% 12.1% 15.9% 14.4% 11.4% 8.0% 2.1%
Sean Andrew 10.8% 12.9% 14.4% 13.6% 13.6% 12.9% 10.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0%
Conor Lodge 16.3% 15.8% 16.3% 17.5% 12.1% 9.0% 5.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Timothy Lorenzen 5.2% 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 8.6% 9.4% 14.7% 16.5% 17.0% 11.4%
Billy Hines 7.6% 11.8% 12.6% 12.6% 14.6% 14.2% 10.7% 9.8% 4.7% 1.4%
Stephanie Dowling 2.5% 2.3% 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 10.9% 15.4% 22.4% 25.3%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 2.0% 1.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.2% 8.3% 10.8% 19.2% 45.1%
Sam Wyer 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.9% 8.6% 8.4% 13.1% 17.4% 21.3% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.