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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Sullivan 29.1% 25.0% 18.0% 13.1% 8.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Heller 6.7% 6.7% 8.5% 11.6% 14.5% 13.8% 12.9% 12.6% 8.3% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Michael Dahl 21.6% 22.1% 18.7% 16.0% 10.0% 7.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Kivlovitz 6.0% 5.9% 7.9% 9.1% 12.0% 15.9% 15.8% 12.9% 9.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 7.6% 8.4% 10.8% 11.5% 12.4% 14.0% 13.1% 10.4% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Mallory Schluter 15.4% 16.0% 16.5% 17.2% 11.4% 9.0% 7.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeffrey Tedmori 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 6.3% 9.7% 11.5% 16.8% 29.5% 11.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nguyen 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 10.3% 13.2% 12.8% 12.1% 13.2% 11.1% 5.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Tedmori 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 6.3% 9.7% 11.5% 16.8% 29.5% 11.1% 0.0%
Michael Garrigan 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 9.4% 14.4% 19.4% 22.9% 9.8% 0.0%
Curtis Wagner 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 5.9% 12.8% 69.8% 0.0%
Steven Cassingham 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 6.7% 8.2% 11.8% 15.5% 18.3% 18.5% 5.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.