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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.57+2.07vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.69-2.49vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.62-1.11vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77-2.51vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.72vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.09-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Stanford University3.040.2%1st Place
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2.65University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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8.28California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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7.89Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.49Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.28California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 21.5% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 31.9% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 28.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 28.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Wagner | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 69.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.