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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.79+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.19+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.50+0.54vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.03vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-4.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.02vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.31vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.44-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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4.97California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.97California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.85Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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9.63Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 27.7% | 22.0% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 19.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 56.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.