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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80-0.04vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.79+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego2.19-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.50-3.53vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.44-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.26vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.51-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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2.96Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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5.05California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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9.69Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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7.69Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 17.7% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 26.9% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 60.1% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.