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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.79+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+2.84vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.50+1.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80-2.34vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.50+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-5.46vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51-2.87vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.68California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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4.68California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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7.13Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.85Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Kincaid | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 31.7% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.