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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.50+1.69vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80-2.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.79-1.11vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.01vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.51-2.10vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego2.19-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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5.01California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.9Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.67Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 31.2% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 23.6% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 22.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 57.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.