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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+4.28vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.89vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.19+2.50vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.79-4.24vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.50-4.31vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University1.51-3.28vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.44-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.89California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.89California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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2.95Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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7.72Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.59Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 27.4% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 18.1% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.