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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.79+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.50+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego2.19+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.50-1.60vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.14vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University1.51-1.15vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.44-1.40vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.64-6.93vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands2.77-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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2.94Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Southern California2.500.1%1st Place
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4.86California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.85Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.86California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Kincaid | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 27.0% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Samuels | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.