← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.78vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.57+3.53vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.24vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.55+1.78vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.59+1.57vs Predicted
-
6Yale University0.07+4.53vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University-0.20+4.31vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.43-2.10vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.37vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.13-3.14vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.52-0.59vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas1.01-4.61vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.10-2.87vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.32-1.55vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.74-1.77vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.93-2.24vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.1%1st Place
-
5.53North Carolina State University1.5712.0%1st Place
-
6.24University of Rhode Island1.808.3%1st Place
-
5.78Brown University1.5511.9%1st Place
-
6.57Northeastern University1.597.6%1st Place
-
10.53Yale University0.073.5%1st Place
-
11.31Harvard University-0.202.2%1st Place
-
5.9Tufts University1.4310.7%1st Place
-
9.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.7%1st Place
-
6.86Bowdoin College1.138.4%1st Place
-
10.41Connecticut College0.523.2%1st Place
-
7.39University of Texas1.017.3%1st Place
-
10.13Boston University0.103.4%1st Place
-
12.45Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
-
13.23University of Vermont-0.741.6%1st Place
-
13.76Salve Regina University-0.931.0%1st Place
-
11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Jack Flores | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Schill | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Matias Martin | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 24.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 29.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.