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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+3.83vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.72vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57-1.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.81-3.15vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.62-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.12-1.89vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.77-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.72California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.72California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.32University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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4.85Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.11Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.97Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 31.6% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 22.7% | 24.5% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.