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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.63vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.04+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.57+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35-0.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.81-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.12+0.07vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.77-2.05vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.62-2.76vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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2.72Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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3.48University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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5.35University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.95Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.24Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.63California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 28.3% | 24.7% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 16.9% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 24.2% | 21.0% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.