← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeffrey Tedmori 2.8% 2.7% 2.2% 5.5% 5.0% 7.3% 12.2% 14.6% 21.5% 26.2% 0.0%
Michael Dahl 28.3% 24.7% 18.0% 14.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mallory Schluter 16.9% 19.0% 18.4% 16.1% 14.6% 7.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Kaschak 24.2% 21.0% 20.8% 16.0% 8.8% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Nguyen 7.4% 8.0% 8.3% 11.8% 14.5% 15.0% 16.0% 9.1% 7.2% 2.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Weis 7.1% 5.6% 8.2% 8.2% 13.5% 16.6% 13.2% 14.6% 8.7% 4.3% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 6.7% 11.6% 10.9% 15.5% 14.6% 15.1% 13.3% 7.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon 1.1% 1.6% 3.5% 2.9% 4.5% 7.8% 9.0% 13.4% 20.6% 35.6% 0.0%
Steven Cassingham 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 7.9% 11.5% 14.4% 19.9% 16.6% 13.1% 0.0%
Michael Garrigan 2.2% 2.6% 5.2% 4.4% 8.1% 9.0% 13.4% 17.4% 21.2% 16.5% 0.0%
Jeffrey Tedmori 2.8% 2.7% 2.2% 5.5% 5.0% 7.3% 12.2% 14.6% 21.5% 26.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.