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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Takata 27.5% 20.7% 15.5% 13.4% 9.6% 6.6% 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 15.0% 18.0% 14.1% 13.7% 14.0% 11.0% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Billy Hines 9.6% 10.6% 11.1% 11.1% 15.2% 13.6% 13.3% 9.5% 4.8% 1.2%
Sean Andrew 11.0% 12.4% 14.4% 14.0% 12.0% 14.3% 10.8% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2% 9.4% 13.9% 17.5% 16.9% 11.7%
Sam Wyer 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.7% 7.0% 9.6% 13.7% 14.5% 20.7% 13.7%
Michael Reney 7.9% 7.9% 11.0% 11.8% 13.2% 14.9% 11.4% 12.9% 7.1% 1.9%
Stephanie Dowling 2.8% 2.1% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 11.4% 15.5% 22.4% 25.5%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 6.9% 12.7% 19.8% 44.0%
Conor Lodge 15.3% 16.6% 16.4% 14.5% 13.5% 9.4% 8.2% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.