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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.35+2.83vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.04-1.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.57+0.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-1.17vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.76vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.62-0.84vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.77-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.12-1.92vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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2.69Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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4.83Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.76California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.16Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.94Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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7.76California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 24.3% | 24.2% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 16.5% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 28.6% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.