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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+5.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+4.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+3.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.57+0.63vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+5.22vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.74+6.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01-2.60vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43-5.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.39vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.07-2.44vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.10-3.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-4.76vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.32-3.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2University of Rhode Island1.808.4%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.599.7%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College1.137.8%1st Place
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5.83Brown University1.5511.2%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University1.5711.9%1st Place
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11.22Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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13.21University of Vermont-0.741.6%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7312.0%1st Place
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11.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Texas1.016.2%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.4310.8%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.1%1st Place
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10.56Yale University0.072.7%1st Place
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10.23Boston University0.103.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College0.523.4%1st Place
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12.44Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
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13.65Salve Regina University-0.931.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 24.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
| Matias Martin | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.