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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+4.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+3.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.07+7.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80+1.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+0.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.93+6.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+3.68vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.57-3.49vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.10+0.39vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88-2.93vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.32+0.45vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-3.59vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-9.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.74-2.87vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Brown University1.5510.0%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University1.4311.2%1st Place
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10.45Yale University0.072.9%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College1.138.6%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island1.809.3%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University1.599.2%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University-0.931.7%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.2%1st Place
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5.51North Carolina State University1.5711.8%1st Place
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10.39Boston University0.103.2%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College0.886.4%1st Place
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12.45Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University-0.202.6%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College0.522.9%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.5%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont-0.740.8%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 27.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Kelleher | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 23.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.