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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.71vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.70vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.35+0.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57-1.67vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.62-0.83vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.30vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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7.7California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.84Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.33University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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7.17Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.7California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.97Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 30.4% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 16.8% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 23.5% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.