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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+4.97vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+2.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+1.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43-0.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.88+1.11vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.57-2.39vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.20+2.26vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.62vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.07-0.59vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+1.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52-2.51vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.32-1.46vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.10-4.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-4.13vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.74-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.8011.5%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University1.598.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University1.5510.2%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7312.3%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College1.137.6%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University1.4312.0%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College0.885.5%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University1.5711.2%1st Place
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11.26Harvard University-0.202.9%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.9%1st Place
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10.41Yale University0.072.9%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University-0.931.3%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College0.522.6%1st Place
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12.54Princeton University-0.321.9%1st Place
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10.02Boston University0.103.6%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.181.7%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont-0.740.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 27.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Will Kelleher | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.