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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+4.15vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.57+0.59vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.96vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81-3.87vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.69-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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7.96California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.96California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.66Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.34Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 29.0% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 15.8% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 22.3% | 22.0% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.