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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+2.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.04-2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.69-0.59vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.57-2.27vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.77-1.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-4.85vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.62-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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2.78Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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8.01California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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7.29Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.58Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 23.2% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 27.7% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.