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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+5.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+3.69vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+3.73vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+0.75vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+0.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.88+1.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.07+2.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-3.25vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.32+2.45vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.10-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.74+1.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52-2.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-1.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-4.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of Rhode Island1.8010.1%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.4311.9%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University1.598.3%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University1.5712.3%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.5510.8%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College1.138.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College0.885.2%1st Place
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10.3Yale University0.072.5%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.3%1st Place
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12.45Princeton University-0.321.6%1st Place
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10.14Boston University0.103.6%1st Place
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13.18University of Vermont-0.741.3%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College0.523.5%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.0%1st Place
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13.76Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.181.8%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University-0.202.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 22.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 30.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.