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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+1.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.68vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.43vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.14Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Mary Hall | 16.9% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 32.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 17.1% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.