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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+4.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+1.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+5.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55-1.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.10+1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.74+3.20vs Predicted
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11University of Texas1.01-3.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-5.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52-2.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.07-3.52vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-2.61vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.20-4.51vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63North Carolina State University1.5711.2%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.599.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.809.7%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.4311.6%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7310.2%1st Place
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11.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.0%1st Place
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5.79Brown University1.5511.4%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.5%1st Place
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10.11Boston University0.103.4%1st Place
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13.2University of Vermont-0.740.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Texas1.017.0%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College1.138.2%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College0.523.4%1st Place
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10.48Yale University0.072.6%1st Place
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12.39Princeton University-0.322.3%1st Place
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11.49Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Will Kelleher | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| Matias Martin | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.