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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+2.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+1.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+5.46vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-1.43vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32+4.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.74+4.16vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01-2.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43-5.11vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.10-1.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.42vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.07-3.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-4.63vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.93-2.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.1%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University1.598.7%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.8011.7%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.5510.3%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College1.138.2%1st Place
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11.46Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University1.5712.8%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont-0.741.4%1st Place
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7.5University of Texas1.015.8%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University1.4310.2%1st Place
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10.33Boston University0.102.4%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.4%1st Place
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10.39Yale University0.072.9%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College0.523.3%1st Place
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13.69Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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11.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 24.4% |
| Matias Martin | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 28.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.