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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+2.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.50vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.04vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.01Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.96College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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4.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.81Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.1% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 30.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 17.7% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| Mary Hall | 18.2% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.