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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+5.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+2.87vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10+5.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.28vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+2.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.20+1.34vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-2.50vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+1.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.60vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.32-1.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.70vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.07-5.39vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.74-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University2.0318.9%1st Place
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7.35University of Texas1.016.8%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University1.439.4%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University1.5712.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston University0.102.9%1st Place
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6.66Northeastern University1.598.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island1.809.8%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7310.6%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.2%1st Place
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11.34Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College0.734.7%1st Place
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13.49Salve Regina University-0.931.8%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.2%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University-0.322.0%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College-0.131.9%1st Place
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10.61Yale University0.072.3%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont-0.741.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 27.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.