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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+4.99vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+4.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+2.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+5.39vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.01+2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.03-2.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.73+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.74+4.09vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.57-4.43vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.10-0.92vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.07-1.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+0.28vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-0.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.33-3.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-4.44vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.8010.2%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University1.598.4%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University1.4311.2%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.9%1st Place
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7.11University of Texas1.016.4%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.5%1st Place
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4.15Brown University2.0318.2%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College0.734.9%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont-0.741.2%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University1.5710.5%1st Place
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10.08Boston University0.102.5%1st Place
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10.18Yale University0.073.4%1st Place
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13.28Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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13.35Princeton University-0.791.4%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College-0.331.8%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.181.4%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Matias Martin | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 18.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 25.0% |
| Jake Demos | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.