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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.09vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.88vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+2.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-0.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.38vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-3.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.9Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 31.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Mary Hall | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.