← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.43+4.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.80+3.96vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.03+1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas1.01+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+4.31vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College0.73+2.10vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.57-1.46vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.33vs Predicted
-
9Yale University0.07+1.17vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.10+0.09vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.59-4.50vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont-0.74+1.25vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College-0.33-1.09vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.93-0.54vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-3.55vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University-0.20-4.85vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.79-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87Tufts University1.438.3%1st Place
-
5.96University of Rhode Island1.8010.2%1st Place
-
4.02Brown University2.0319.6%1st Place
-
7.19University of Texas1.017.0%1st Place
-
9.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.8%1st Place
-
8.1Bowdoin College0.734.9%1st Place
-
5.54North Carolina State University1.5712.0%1st Place
-
5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7310.4%1st Place
-
10.17Yale University0.073.0%1st Place
-
10.09Boston University0.102.8%1st Place
-
6.5Northeastern University1.598.1%1st Place
-
13.25University of Vermont-0.741.5%1st Place
-
11.91Connecticut College-0.332.1%1st Place
-
13.46Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
-
11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.1%1st Place
-
11.15Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
-
13.35Princeton University-0.790.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 19.6% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| Jake Demos | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 25.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.