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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-0.20vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-2.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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4.01Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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5.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Mary Hall | 12.7% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 17.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 18.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.