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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+4.85vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+3.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.65vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.60vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22-0.08vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-2.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-3.02vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28-3.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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4.92College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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3.98Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 31.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% |
| Corey Hall | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Mary Hall | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.