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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.03+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.01vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+2.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.73+2.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.01-0.87vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.57-3.35vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+1.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.33+0.90vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.07-1.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.74-0.93vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.10-4.83vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.79-2.68vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Tufts University1.4311.1%1st Place
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4.05Brown University2.0319.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island1.809.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University1.597.6%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7311.7%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College0.735.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.8%1st Place
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7.13University of Texas1.016.8%1st Place
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5.65North Carolina State University1.5711.0%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.181.8%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College-0.332.2%1st Place
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10.15Yale University0.073.0%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont-0.741.3%1st Place
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10.17Boston University0.102.7%1st Place
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13.32Princeton University-0.791.2%1st Place
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11.18Harvard University-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Matias Martin | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Jake Demos | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 23.2% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 21.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 23.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.