Race 11A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Rohman 16.9% 15.5% 14.8% 13.8% 11.6% 11.0% 8.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Michael Reney 9.3% 9.3% 10.6% 11.2% 12.0% 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 7.3% 2.7%
Sean Andrew 12.7% 12.7% 12.5% 13.1% 13.7% 13.4% 10.3% 7.1% 3.8% 0.7%
Christopher Poole 18.4% 17.2% 14.2% 15.9% 12.6% 8.9% 7.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Timothy Lorenzen 5.6% 4.8% 7.3% 6.2% 7.0% 10.2% 13.3% 18.2% 17.1% 10.3%
Sam Wyer 5.0% 4.2% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 9.7% 13.0% 16.0% 19.2% 13.5%
Conor Lodge 17.0% 18.6% 16.4% 13.3% 13.4% 10.5% 5.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Billy Hines 10.7% 12.9% 11.9% 12.3% 14.6% 11.0% 11.1% 8.9% 4.6% 2.0%
Stephanie Dowling 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 7.6% 10.7% 13.7% 24.8% 24.7%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 7.3% 11.1% 19.1% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.