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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71-0.05vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22-0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.09vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.17Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.79Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 32.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 15.8% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Corey Hall | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Mary Hall | 17.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.