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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+2.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+2.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.05vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.1College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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3.88Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.69Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Corey Hall | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.4% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 30.1% |
| Mary Hall | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.