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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.73+7.41vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.57+3.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.07+7.34vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.01+3.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.80vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.03-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-0.98vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59-1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43-3.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.20+1.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+0.61vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.66vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.32-0.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.10-3.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.74-2.95vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.93-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Bowdoin College0.735.3%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University1.5711.2%1st Place
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10.34Yale University0.073.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Texas1.015.7%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7310.3%1st Place
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4.13Brown University2.0318.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island1.809.8%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University1.597.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University1.4311.1%1st Place
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11.17Harvard University-0.203.1%1st Place
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11.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.1%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College-0.132.5%1st Place
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12.39Princeton University-0.321.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University0.103.2%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.8%1st Place
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13.05University of Vermont-0.741.8%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea McGrath | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Matias Martin | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 18.1% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.