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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.09vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.88vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+2.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71-0.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87-0.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-4.06vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.01Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.77Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.94Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 18.5% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 31.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.