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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+2.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22-0.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-2.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.43vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.0University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.88Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.89Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.710.2%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.83Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Corey Hall | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 32.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.