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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+4.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+2.24vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.15vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.40vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.24College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.86Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Mary Hall | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Corey Hall | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 32.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.